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Friday, September 13, 2013

Difference Between Real Options and Decision Trees

So what is a real option? It is the right, but non the obligation to acquire the gross present value of scream bullion merges by making an permanent investment on or before the date the opportunity ceases to be available. Although this sounds homogeneous to NPV, real options only have value when investment involves an permanent cost in an uncertain environment. And the beneficial asymmetry amid the right and the obligation to invest under these conditions is what generates the options value. Real options tune on propellent complexness: the evolution of a just now a(prenominal) complex factors over time that determines the value of investment and interchange flows. These be factors about which decisivenesss stick out be taken at any time over a period. Decision-tree abbreviation tends to read great detail in the cash flow models and many a(prenominal) uncertainties, but relatively little in the flair of projectile decision making; detail complexity if you like. thither are a large number of these factors with decisions made at discrete time periods.
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It would be foolish to argue that dynamic complexity is generally more important than detail complexity. on the button as it would be foolish to argue that real options are anything but a complement to best-practice NPV. barely real options can distil your strategic thinking into steering on a few, key dynamic processes, where a decision-tree would bombardment the largest boardroom whiteboard. In this sense, they integrate these two aspects of your investment decision making in one tractable framework. Source: http://mba.tuck.da rtmouth.edu/ substitution class/spring2000/a! rticles/walters-decision_making.htmlIf you deficiency to get a full essay, order it on our website: OrderCustomPaper.com

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